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Agenda - Wednesday, 7 May 2008

9.00 am Forum opening and welcome
Tyler Lovering, Director, InAssociation introduces
Paul Hocking, Executive Director, INFINZ
9.05 am

Presentation
The credit crunch in 2008

  • Economic context
  • Investor strike (unravelling of SIVs)
  • Impact on the structured finance sector
  • Impact on banking sector
  • Impact on corporate sector
  • Impact on the economy
  • Outlook

John Miles, Senior Director, Fitch Ratings

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9.35 am

Presentation
Outlook for the A$ and NZ$ debt capital markets

  • 2007/2008 review
  • Outlook for 2008/2009
  • Implications and opportunities for borrowers

Samantha Ridler, Head of Syndicate, nabCapital
Florence Besson,
Associate Director, Debt Capital Markets Origination, Bank of New Zealand

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10.05 am

Presentation
Outlook for New Zealand's housing sector

  • NZ economic outlook and OCR forecasts
  • House prices - how far to fall?
  • Does NZ have a US-style glut of houses?

 Dominick Stephens, Research Economist, Westpac Institutional Bank

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10.35 am Morning tea break
10.55 am

Panel discussion
The Kauri bond market - leading the way in 2008

  • AAA Kauri - from zero to NZ$6 billion in six months
  • Who are the issuers?
  • Who are the investors?
  • Substitute for government bonds?
  • What about retail?
  • Can the Kauri market replace the Eurokiwi market?
  • Kauri index?

Chaired by Patrick Mullins, Head of Capital Markets Origination, Bank of New Zealand and John Marsh, Head of Institutional and Investor Sales, Bank of New Zealand
Panellists include:
John Groom, Manager - Domestic Markets, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Ross Pennington,
Partner, Russell McVeagh
Charles Roberts,
Head of Rates, Bank of New Zealand

11.40 am

Presentation
The proposed new model for securitisation in Australia and possible implications for New Zealand

  • Mortgages are the mainstay. Is the mast looking wobbly?
  • What can we learn from Canadian developments and current Australian thinking?
  • Could a new government-guaranteed mortgage-backed security re-float this market?
  • But would the government be prepared to take the helm?

Ross Pennington, Partner, Russell McVeagh

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12.10 pm

Presentation
The star spangled bond market - why NZ corporates are looking to US private placement markets

  • Review of 2007
  • The US private placement market remains open despite the current turmoil
  • Overview of current market conditions
  • What are the advantages of raising capital in the US private placement market?

Rod Smith, Head of Debt Capital Markets, Westpac Institutional Bank introduces
Stephen M. Mahoney,
Managing Director - Private Placements, Bank of America

12.40 pm Networking lunch
2.15 pm

Panel discussion
2008: A new year for the non-bank sector

  • A year on from the changes to legislation, where are we at?
  • What funding options are still available?
  • How has business changed since the new legislation?

Chaired by Max Brown, Head of Fixed Interest, Forsyth Barr
Panellists include:
Tim Loan, General Manager Finance, Southland Building Society
John Callaghan, Managing Director, NZ Finance
Bruce Anderson,
Head of Finance, UDC Finance
John Miles,
Senior Director, Fitch Ratings

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3.00 pm

Keynote presentation
An introduction to Craig Foss, Associate Spokesman for Finance
National Party of New Zealand

  • His finance experiences, NZ, Europe, Japan
  • The knowledge (or lack of) that Parliament and the general public has about financial markets
  • Understanding how governments use debt
  • Linking debt to productivity growth at both central and local government levels

Craig Foss, Member of Parliament for Tukituki and Associate Spokesman for Finance, National Party of New Zealand

3.30 pm Afternoon tea break
3.50 pm

Panel discussion
Crystal ball gazing: If debt markets are no longer an option...

  • In the current tight credit and depressed equity markets, what is the relative value of debt capital markets vs. equity capital markets?
  • Hybrid securities - when do they come back into play?
  • Conflicts of interest: When bank financiers also arrange bond issues
  • When does the financial flexibility from subordinated debt offer good value?
  • Are retail debt investors more "loyal" than banks?
  • When to use the bank loan market?

Chaired by Shaun Roberts, Director Investment Banking, Forsyth Barr
Panellists:
Sara Double, Treasurer, Fletcher Building
Stephan Deschamps,
General Manager Treasury, Fonterra Co-operative Group

4.25 pm

Panel discussion
Holding court: The ball is in the investors' hands

  • What is behind the success of the recent bank issuance?
  • What will institutional investors look for in these challenging times?
  • Where are we at in the liquidity cycle?
  • Portfolio mix: What looks hot and what is not
  • What’s the future for RMBS in NZ?

Chaired by David Austin, Head of Investor Sales, Westpac Institutional Bank
Panellists:
Andrew Michl, Senior Investment Manager, ING New Zealand
Fergus McDonald, Head of Bonds and Currency, Tyndall Investment Management
Michael Warrington, Financial Advisor, Projects Resources

5.00 pm Closing remarks and close of Forum
Paul Hocking, Executive Director, INFINZ
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INFINZ Certified Members will receive certification of 6 hours of Continuing Professional Development (CPD) for attending the INFINZ Debt Capital Markets Forum 2008. This will also go towards CPD requirements for the NZICA (New Zealand Institute of Chartered Accountants). For information on becoming an INFINZ member, please click here.

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